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TAM SAM SOM sizes your market in three nested circles. TAM is everyone who could ever buy the category. SAM is the slice your product and model can serve. SOM is the portion you can realistically win in the near term. The gap between them is where most pitch decks quietly lie.
The useful number is SOM, not TAM. A huge TAM impresses no one who has seen a hundred decks. A defensible SOM, with a clear reason you can reach and win it, is what separates a real plan from a fantasy.
Build it bottom-up, not just top-down. Top-down sizing, taking a giant market and assuming you capture 1 percent, flatters everything. Bottom-up, counting real accounts you can reach and a believable win rate, keeps you honest.
Revisit it as you learn. Early SOM estimates are guesses. As real win rates and reachable-account data come in, tighten the percentages. A market size you never update is a market size you no longer believe.
A TAM SAM SOM calculator sizes your market in three layers. It takes your total addressable market, applies the share your product can serve to get SAM, then the share you can win to get SOM.
TAM is everyone who could buy the category, SAM is the part your product and model can serve and SOM is the portion you can realistically capture in the near term.
SOM. A large TAM is easy to claim and impresses no experienced investor. A defensible SOM, with a clear path to reach and win it, is what counts.
Both but trust bottom-up. Counting real reachable accounts and a believable win rate is far more honest than assuming you capture a percentage of a giant market.
Sizing the market is easy. Capturing your SOM is the marketing problem. Book a 30-minute audit and we will tell you where to start. No sales sequence.
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